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歐洲經濟前景不佳,或將迎來不可避免的衰退。隨著歐洲央行利率見頂,美國債券收益率節節攀升,歐元/美元正呈現下行趨勢。歐元/英鎊波動巨大,動能下降。歐元/日元跌破預期,可能會進一步下滑。
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高利率和物價上漲將在第三季度使歐洲經濟蒙上陰影,投資者必須時刻保持警惕。歐洲央行的利率政策已觸頂,而美國債券收益率持續攀升,制約了歐元/美元的上漲動能。
美元展望:美國實際收益率創新高,美元前景迅猛上升。投資者正密切關注美國經濟數據,這將在未來影響美元表現。
黃金市場不容忽視。雖然價格目前嚴重超賣,但需要保持警惕!強硬的美聯儲措辭和強勁的經濟數據正在推動黃金價格下跌。同時,美國實際收益率創新高,給黃金帶來更大壓力。
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The European economic outlook appears bleak, with the possibility of a recession looming in the third quarter. As the European Central Bank’s policy rates peak and US bond yields surge, the EUR/USD is on a downward trajectory. The EUR/GBP experiences significant fluctuations, but its upward momentum is waning. Speculations regarding intervention from the Bank of Japan due to intense short-term fluctuations in the EUR/JPY suggest a potential further decline.
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High-interest rates and rising prices are casting a shadow on the European economy in the third quarter. The European Central Bank has likely hit the ceiling with its rate policies, while US bond yields continue to rise, limiting the upside potential of the EUR/USD.
Outlook for the US Dollar: Real US yields are hitting all-time highs, and the dollar’s prospects are surging. Investors are keeping a close eye on US economic data, which will impact the dollar’s performance.
Don’t underestimate the gold market. While prices are currently significantly oversold, caution is advised! Hawkish Fed rhetoric and robust economic data are driving gold prices lower. Simultaneously, real US yields are at record highs, adding further pressure on gold.
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