在一个充满不确定性的世界中，冲突打破了和平，中东地区的哈马斯袭击以色列成为了最新焦点，已有超过700人丧生。作为回应，以色列瞄准哈马斯进行报复，据报道已有400多人丧生。持续不断的冲突使市场陷入波动的阴影。
对金融市场的影响：中东的暴力冲突引发了避险资产的激增。美元走强，而像日元和瑞士法郎等传统避险货币也得到支持。原油价格上涨约3%至4%。
黄金闪耀夺目：在不断升级的紧张局势下，黄金经历了一轮显著的上涨，延续了上周积极的非农就业数据后的涨势。最近的趋势打破了短期的看跌旗形图案，阻止了黄金测试每盎司略高于1800美元的关键支撑位。尽管总体非农就业数据远远超出预期，但平均薪资下降令美联储感到满意，因为他们将继续对抗通胀。最新的美国通胀报告将于周四公布，预计核心和总体通胀率都将下降。
英镑/美元：焦点在美国9月CPI：中东冲突的影响导致市场的避险情绪升温，英镑/美元在周一开盘时下跳空。此外，上周五公布的美国9月非农数据远超预期，显示美国劳动力市场仍然非常强劲。然而，货币市场对于美联储在11月的利率预期没有太大变化，除非本周四公布的美国9月CPI数据出现意外，否则不太可能引发市场的重新定价。
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In an uncertain world marred by conflicts, the recent Hamas attack on Israel in the Middle East has grabbed headlines, resulting in over 700 casualties. Israel’s retaliatory strikes, targeting Hamas, have reportedly claimed the lives of over 400 individuals. This ongoing strife has cast a shadow of market volatility.
Market Impact: The violent turmoil in the Middle East has triggered a surge in safe-haven assets. The U.S. dollar has strengthened, and traditional safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc have gained support. Crude oil prices have risen by approximately 3% to 4%.
Gold Shines Bright: Amidst rising tensions, gold has surged significantly, continuing its upward trajectory following last week’s robust non-farm payroll data. This recent trend has shattered short-term bearish patterns and prevented gold from testing the critical support level just above $1,800 per ounce. Despite non-farm payroll data exceeding expectations, a drop in average wages has been favorable to the Federal Reserve as they continue to combat inflation. The latest U.S. inflation report, expected to reveal declines in both core and overall inflation rates, will be released on Thursday.
GBP/USD: Focus on U.S. September CPI: The Middle East conflict’s impact has escalated market risk aversion, leading to a gap down in GBP/USD at Monday’s opening. Additionally, the U.S. September non-farm payroll data, released last Friday, significantly outperformed expectations, indicating the ongoing strength of the U.S. labor market. However, unless unexpected developments occur with the release of U.S. September CPI data on Thursday, it is unlikely to prompt a market reassessment of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook for November.
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