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欧洲经济前景不佳,或将迎来不可避免的衰退。随着欧洲央行利率见顶,美国债券收益率节节攀升,欧元/美元正呈现下行趋势。欧元/英镑波动巨大,动能下降。欧元/日元跌破预期,可能会进一步下滑。
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高利率和物价上涨将在第三季度使欧洲经济蒙上阴影,投资者必须时刻保持警惕。欧洲央行的利率政策已触顶,而美国债券收益率持续攀升,制约了欧元/美元的上涨动能。
美元展望:美国实际收益率创新高,美元前景迅猛上升。投资者正密切关注美国经济数据,这将在未来影响美元表现。
黄金市场不容忽视。虽然价格目前严重超卖,但需要保持警惕!强硬的美联储措辞和强劲的经济数据正在推动黄金价格下跌。同时,美国实际收益率创新高,给黄金带来更大压力。
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The European economic outlook appears bleak, with the possibility of a recession looming in the third quarter. As the European Central Bank’s policy rates peak and US bond yields surge, the EUR/USD is on a downward trajectory. The EUR/GBP experiences significant fluctuations, but its upward momentum is waning. Speculations regarding intervention from the Bank of Japan due to intense short-term fluctuations in the EUR/JPY suggest a potential further decline.
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High-interest rates and rising prices are casting a shadow on the European economy in the third quarter. The European Central Bank has likely hit the ceiling with its rate policies, while US bond yields continue to rise, limiting the upside potential of the EUR/USD.
Outlook for the US Dollar: Real US yields are hitting all-time highs, and the dollar’s prospects are surging. Investors are keeping a close eye on US economic data, which will impact the dollar’s performance.
Don’t underestimate the gold market. While prices are currently significantly oversold, caution is advised! Hawkish Fed rhetoric and robust economic data are driving gold prices lower. Simultaneously, real US yields are at record highs, adding further pressure on gold.
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